
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a narrow but vivid question: will Game 5 of this League of Legends series feature at least one Quadra Kill? Because Game 5 is the last map in a tied series, it is usually the most likely place for big teamfights, late-game carries, and highlight-reel kill streaks.
The event is specifically the fifth game of the match, and the outcome depends on whether any player on either side reaches four kills in quick succession during that game. A Penta Kill also counts as a Quadra Kill for resolution, and the market is centered on the completed Game 5 only, not the wider series score. The market resolves to 50-50 if Game 5 is never played, is canceled, or is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date.
Quadra Kills are rare enough that they depend on both the pace of the game and the way fights break out around objectives, towers, and base defenses. In a decisive fifth map, teams often play with more pressure and more risk, which can make a burst-kill sequence more plausible than in an early or one-sided game. The disagreement behind the market is whether this specific game will produce one of those fast multi-kill moments or stay more controlled.
The biggest drivers are the series context and the shape of the draft and early game: scaling carries, dive-heavy team compositions, or repeated late-game teamfights can all increase the chance of a Quadra Kill. If one side snowballs hard or the game looks likely to end through slow objective control, that can lower the odds of a four-kill burst. Roster swaps, substitutions, or any confirmed change to the scheduled Game 5 setup would also matter because they can alter how the match is played.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should check whether Game 5 is actually played, because this market goes to 50-50 if the series ends earlier, is forfeited, or is otherwise not completed as a Game 5. The resolution source is official information from gol.gg, so the key thing to verify is the final Game 5 result and whether a Quadra Kill was recorded before any surrender or stoppage. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, so the final official match record is what matters.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

-0.1%
24h Vol
$639.4K
Liquidity
$8.8K
Spread
2%
12/31/2026
View market
+0.2%
24h Vol
$537.5K
Liquidity
$3K
Spread
3%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$10.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.2K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market