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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: in Game 5 between FURIA Esports and LOS, did both teams take Baron Nashor at least once? Because Baron is one of the most decisive neutral objectives in LoL, whether each side secures it can be a strong marker of how back-and-forth the deciding game became.
The outcome depends only on Game 5 of the FURIA Esports vs. LOS series. Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 game time and can be taken multiple times if the game goes long enough, but this market only cares whether FURIA and LOS each slay it at least once during that final game. It resolves to Yes only if both teams do so in the remade or completed Game 5, and to No if either side never secures Baron in that game.
A Game 5 is the most likely place for volatility, since both teams are one map away from winning or losing the series and often have to take bigger risks around objectives. Baron control also depends on draft, map pressure, teamfighting, and how long the game lasts, so there is real uncertainty over whether one or both teams will get the chance to claim it. The market is essentially pricing disagreement over whether the deciding game will be long and contested enough for both sides to take Baron at least once.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 5 can move this market: a slower early game, repeated objective trades, or a tightly contested mid-to-late game all make a double-Baron outcome more plausible. By contrast, a one-sided stomp, an early surrender, or a very short game can make it impossible for both teams to reach a Baron take. Because the rule also covers remakes and stoppages, the exact official final game state matters as much as the on-screen action.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify that Game 5 is actually played and completed, since a canceled match, walkover, disqualification, or series that ends before a fifth game all resolve to 50-50 under the rules. The official source of truth is listed as gol.gg/esports/home, so the key check is the final match record for Game 5 and whether it shows Baron takedowns for both FURIA Esports and LOS. If the game is remade or ends early, only the remade or final completed game counts, and a surrender still resolves from whether both teams had already slain Baron before the stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FURIA Esports and LOS each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 5. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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