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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question in Game 5 of FURIA Esports vs. LOS: will both teams secure at least one elemental dragon before the game ends? It is worth watching because dragon control is a central objective in modern League, and a deciding game often tells you a lot about how the teams are drafting and fighting around the map.
The event is the fifth game of the series between FURIA Esports and LOS, and the outcome depends only on Game 5. A “Yes” result requires both teams to have slain at least one elemental dragon during that game; a “No” result means either FURIA or LOS fails to do so. Only elemental dragons count here, so Elder Dragon kills do not satisfy the condition, and the market uses the game’s official outcome rules if the match is unfinished or never played.
Dragon trades and objective control can vary a lot from one draft to the next, especially in a high-pressure deciding game where teams may play more aggressively or more cautiously. The uncertainty here is not about who wins the match overall, but whether both sides will find time and map control to claim at least one dragon each. That makes the market sensitive to tempo, teamfight style, and whether the game develops into a slow setup or a chaotic back-and-forth.
The biggest drivers are the draft and the pace of the game: engage-heavy compositions, early skirmish junglers, or strong lane priority can make it easier for both teams to visit dragon often. If one side falls far behind early, or if the game ends quickly before a second team can secure a dragon, the chance of a “No” result rises. A long, even Game 5 with repeated objective setups usually supports the case for both teams to take at least one elemental dragon.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketCheck that Game 5 is actually played, because the rules call for 50-50 if the series ends earlier, is canceled, or is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date. The key source of truth is the game itself: whether each team gets credit for at least one elemental dragon before the match ends, including any special handling if the game stops early. If the series goes to a finished Game 5, the market resolves from the dragon count in that game only, and Elder Dragons do not count toward either side.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both FURIA Esports and LOS each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 5. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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