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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $24.9 in 24h volume, and $0.3 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$24.9
Liquidity
$0.3
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will anyone on either side get a Penta Kill in Game 1? A Penta Kill is one of the most dramatic moments in the game, so this is a narrow event market built around a single game rather than the full series. The close line and thin spread suggest the page is effectively weighing a rare highlight against the possibility of a cleaner, lower-kill opener.
The title points to Game 1 of a League of Legends series, and the outcome depends only on whether any player records a Penta Kill during that first game. A Penta Kill means one player personally secures the final kill on all five enemy champions in rapid succession, whether on the winning team or the losing team. If Game 1 is played under unusual circumstances, the market rules control: a remake uses the remade version, a surrendered game still resolves from what happened before stoppage, and a game not played at all can resolve to 50-50 under the listed exceptions.
Penta Kills are flashy but uncommon, so there is real uncertainty even before a match starts. The market is essentially pricing the gap between a standard pro game, where teams may close out methodically, and a chaotic late-fight game where one carry can clean up all five opponents. Because the event is tied to Game 1 specifically, viewers care not just about the teams in the series but about how aggressively the opener is likely to be played and whether it reaches the kind of teamfights that make a Penta Kill possible.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 1 can move this market: team drafts that favor resets, dive, or hyper-carry cleanup; roster changes that affect mechanical ceiling or late-game coordination; and the broader patch/meta if it encourages brawls, grouped fights, or snowballing team compositions. Map and objective pacing also matter, since fast early wins usually leave less room for a five-kill sequence, while longer, messier games create more chances for one player to chain kills. Because the resolution is binary and game-specific, even a small shift in expectations about how the opener will unfold can matter.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify the scheduled Game 1 start time, because the market rules include special handling if the match is canceled, delayed beyond seven days, or never played. The source of truth is official results from gol.gg, with credible reporting used only if final results are still unavailable two hours after the event ends. The main ambiguity to watch is whether a game was fully played, remade, surrendered, or never started, since those scenarios can change how the market resolves even if the broader series still goes ahead.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $24.9 in 24h volume, and $0.3 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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