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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $1.2 in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.2
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will Game 1 feature at least one Quadra Kill, where a player secures four rapid kills in a row. Because it is tied to a single game rather than the full series, the outcome can hinge on one chaotic teamfight, a late-game throw, or an early snowball that sets up a cleanup. The page does not include the matchup itself, so readers should treat the title and official result source as the key identifiers.
The event is only about Game 1, not the whole match or series. If any player on either side gets a Quadra Kill during that game, the market resolves Yes; a Penta Kill also counts because it includes a Quadra Kill along the way. The rules also spell out several edge cases: a canceled or delayed match beyond seven days resolves 50-50, a forfeited or walkover Game 1 also resolves 50-50, and if the game is remade, only the remade version counts.
Quadra Kills are uncommon enough that a single game can easily go either way, even in high-level esports. They tend to happen in messy late-game fights, when one team has the damage, positioning, and timing to chain kills before opponents can reset. That makes this market sensitive to draft style, teamfight-heavy compositions, and whether the game state produces extended skirmishes rather than a controlled closeout.
The biggest price movers are team compositions, lane advantages, and how likely the matchup is to produce repeated five-on-five fights. A carry-heavy draft, strong reset champions, or a volatile early game can raise the odds of a Quadra Kill, while slower macro play or clean disengage tools can reduce them. Because this is only Game 1, the opening draft and early tempo matter more than long-series narratives.
The current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is that Game 1 is actually played and completed, since several non-played scenarios resolve 50-50 under the rules. For the result itself, the market points to official information from gol.gg/esports/home, so that should be checked for the final Game 1 recap if there is any ambiguity. Also watch for remakes or surrender endings, because the resolution depends on the remade game only, or on whether a Quadra Kill happened before a stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $1.2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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