
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $10 in 24h volume, and $154.1 in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$154.1
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 1 between Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming: will both sides secure Baron Nashor at least once? Because Baron is one of the biggest swing objectives in LoL, the answer depends less on who wins the game outright and more on how the early and midgame develops around control, vision, and fight timing.
Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 in game time and gives the Hand of Baron buff to the team that slays it, so this market is only about whether each team gets at least one Baron kill during Game 1. The outcome is determined from official results for the remade or completed Game 1 only, with resolution scheduled around the match deadline of 2026-06-08T03:30:00Z. If the game is canceled, forfeited, delayed beyond seven days, or never played because the series is decided before it is needed, the market resolves 50-50.
Whether both teams take Baron is a narrower and less predictable question than simply who wins the map, because some games end before a second Baron fight ever happens, while others feature long objective trading and repeated resets. Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming are the named teams here, so the market is really pricing the chance that Game 1 becomes a longer, contested match with enough time for both sides to secure the neutral objective at least once.
Draft and game pace matter most: compositions built for scaling, waveclear, or front-to-back teamfighting often point toward longer games and more Baron setups, while early-snowball drafts can end the game before one or both teams ever get the objective. In-match signs such as repeated fights around vision, extended gold swings, elder-style setup pressure, or a late-game stalled map would all make a two-Baron outcome more plausible; by contrast, a one-sided stomp, an early surrender, or a remake that changes the game flow can keep the condition from being met. Because the market resolves on whether both teams slay Baron at least once, a single Baron for only one side is not enough.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are that Game 1 is actually played to completion, whether any remake happened, and what the official result source at gol.gg records for the completed game. Readers should also watch the match format and schedule closely, because this market has explicit 50-50 fallback rules if the game is not played, is delayed too long, or is no longer needed due to the series being decided. Since the question is tied to a single map, the final resolution depends on that exact Game 1 only, not on the series as a whole.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $10 in 24h volume, and $154.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
10%
No
90%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$11.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
+0.5%
24h Vol
$560.6
Liquidity
$4.3K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market