
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $16.4 in 24h volume, and $154.1 in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$16.4
Liquidity
$154.1
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: in Game 1 between Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming, will both teams secure at least one elemental dragon? Because dragon control is often tied to map pressure, objective setup, and team fight timing, this is a small but meaningful snapshot of how the opening game is played. The market is scheduled to resolve around the Game 1 result, with a fallback to 50-50 if the game is not played under the listed rules.
The event is the first game of the series between Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming, and the outcome depends only on elemental dragon kills in that game. A dragon counts if the team slays one of the standard elemental dragons in the pit; Elder Dragon kills do not count for this market, even if they happen later in the game. The key yes/no question is whether Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming each manage to take at least one elemental dragon before Game 1 ends.
This market is centered on a common early-to-mid game League of Legends contest: one team can control the first dragon while the other responds later, but sometimes one side dominates objective control and the other never gets one. That creates a real split in outcomes because a game can feature both teams taking dragons, or only one team doing so, depending on tempo, lanes, and fight winners. The market is pricing disagreement about whether Game 1 will be balanced enough for both teams to claim a dragon or one side will shut the other out.
In a League of Legends match, the biggest drivers here are first-dragon setup, lane priority, jungle pathing, and whether the teams are willing to contest early objectives. Draft choices that favor strong skirmishing or early rotations can make it more likely that both teams end up with at least one dragon, while a one-sided stomp can leave one team without any elemental dragon at all. Because the market is limited to Game 1, roster changes, game pace, and how aggressively each side plays around the first and second dragon spawns are the most relevant in-game factors.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that Game 1 is actually played and completed, because the rules send canceled, forfeited, delayed, or unnecessary games to 50-50. The source of truth is the actual Game 1 result and whether each team recorded at least one elemental dragon kill before the game ended. It is also important not to confuse elemental dragons with Elder Dragon, since Elder kills do not count toward this market even though they are part of the same objective system.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $16.4 in 24h volume, and $154.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
10%
No
90%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$11.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
+0.5%
24h Vol
$560.6
Liquidity
$4.3K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market