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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $10 in 24h volume, and $154.1 in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$154.1
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
10%
Change
-40%
High
59.5%
Low
10%
Fluxo W7M moved from 50% to 10% over the last week, trading between 10% and 59.5%.
Fluxo W7M price history from Polymarket CLOB.
69 points
This market is about which side gets the first kill in Game 1 of Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming, an Upper Bracket Quarterfinal in the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs. In League of Legends, first blood is a small but concrete early-game edge, so this is a narrow question about the opening minutes rather than the full match outcome.
The event is the June 7 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming, with Game 1 scheduled for 12:00 PM ET. The market resolves to the team that secures first blood in that opening game, using the official result source listed in the market rules. If the match is not played, is delayed more than seven days, or Game 1 never happens because of a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, the market resolves 50-50.
First blood is one of the easiest early-game moments to identify, but it can still swing either way depending on lane matchups, jungle pathing, and how aggressively each team starts the game. Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming are both Brazilian names with enough competitive history that readers may have a sense of which team usually starts faster, but this market asks only about a single early kill in one map, not who wins the series. That makes it a focused question about opening-game tempo and draft tendencies.
The biggest drivers are the official match status, draft, and whether Game 1 is actually completed on schedule. A late roster change, a remake, or a game stoppage can matter because the rules specify different outcomes depending on whether first blood happened before the interruption. If pregame lineups, champion selections, or the broadcast setup suggest a very aggressive early style from one side, that can also affect expectations for who gets the first kill.
The current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketCheck that the Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match is played on June 7 and that Game 1 starts and finishes normally. The resolution source is official information from gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the match ends. The main ambiguity to watch for is whether first blood occurred before any remake or stoppage, because the rules treat those cases differently from a completed normal game.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $10 in 24h volume, and $154.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Fluxo W7M
10%
paiN Gaming
90%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming in the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 1 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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