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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $1.2 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.2
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question for Game 2: will any player record a Quadra Kill, meaning four enemy champions killed in quick succession? That kind of highlight usually comes from a long team fight, a fed carry, or a decisive cleanup after an ace, so the market is really tracking whether Game 2 produces one of the game’s biggest individual pop-off moments.
The title is limited to Game 2, so the outcome depends only on that single map, not the match as a whole. It resolves Yes if any player on either side gets a Quadra Kill during Game 2, and a Penta Kill also counts because it necessarily includes a Quadra Kill along the way. If Game 2 is never played, is canceled, is delayed beyond seven days, or is skipped because the series is decided before the map is needed, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
Quadra Kills are uncommon enough that they create real uncertainty even in high-action esports games, but they are not rare enough to dismiss outright, especially in volatile team-fight-heavy League of Legends metas. Readers following this market are effectively asking whether this particular second game will feature a single player snowballing hard enough to clean up four kills in one sequence. The live pricing reflects that balance between a possible highlight-reel fight and a game that could end without any one player reaching that threshold.
Because the market is tied to Game 2, the biggest drivers are the draft, early snowball, and whether the teams pick champions that create reset-heavy or damage-heavy fights. A composition with assassins, reset carries, or strong late-game team fighting can make a Quadra Kill more plausible, while slower macro drafts, one-sided stomps that end before full fights, or a very clean defensive game can make it less likely. If the series format or schedule changes and Game 2 becomes uncertain, that matters too because the rules send unplayed or voided games to 50-50.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are whether Game 2 is actually played, whether it finishes normally, and whether an official result is posted in the source of truth listed in the rules, gol.gg esports home. The market specifically uses Game 2 only, and it treats remakes, surrenders, forfeits, walkovers, and series-clinching situations differently, so readers should pay attention to whether the map starts, whether it is completed, and whether a Quadra Kill happens before any stoppage. If official results are not published within the stated fallback window after the event ends, the rule set says a different resolution source may be used, so that’s the main ambiguity to watch for near deadline.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $1.2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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