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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $3.1K in 24h volume, and $909.5 in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
$909.5
This market asks a simple but very specific League of Legends question: in Game 2 between Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming, will both teams secure Baron Nashor at least once? Because Baron is one of the most game-shaping objectives in LoL, this market is closely tied to how long the game lasts, which team controls the map, and whether both sides reach the late-game stage where Baron contests happen.
The title points to Game 2 of the series between Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming. Baron Nashor first appears at 20 minutes and can be taken more than once if the game goes long enough, so the outcome depends on whether each team gets at least one Baron kill during that single game. The market resolves from official results on gol.gg, and if Game 2 is not completed for reasons like cancellation, a walkover, or a series ending before the game is needed, the market goes to 50-50 under the stated rules.
There is real uncertainty here because Baron control is not guaranteed even in competitive games: some matches end before a second Baron fight, while others swing back and forth with repeated objective trades. Fans following Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming may care because this is a clean way to track whether Game 2 becomes a slower, more extended macro game or a one-sided finish that never gives both teams a chance at Baron.
Anything that changes the expected length or competitiveness of Game 2 can matter here. Drafts that favor early snowballing, strong siege, or explosive teamfights can make it more likely that one side ends the game before both teams take Baron, while even, back-and-forth games raise the chance that each team gets one. In-play developments such as a big lead, an early inhibitor, a failed Baron attempt, or a remake can all affect the odds, and the market’s very wide bid-ask spread suggests traders may be unsure how likely the objective trade pattern is.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are whether Game 2 is actually played, whether it finishes normally, and whether the official match page on gol.gg records Baron kills for both sides. The special resolution rules matter: if the game is canceled, delayed beyond seven days, decided before Game 2 is needed, or never completed because of a forfeit or disqualification, the result is 50-50 rather than Yes or No. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, so readers should check the final official game log rather than relying on highlights or unofficial scoreboards.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $3.1K in 24h volume, and $909.5 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
10%
No
90%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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