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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $10 in 24h volume, and $154.1 in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$154.1
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
10%
Change
-40%
High
53%
Low
10%
Fluxo W7M moved from 50% to 10% over the last week, trading between 10% and 53%.
Fluxo W7M price history from Polymarket CLOB.
69 points
This market asks which side gets the first kill in Game 2 of the Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming at the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs. Because the match is being decided on a single in-game moment rather than the series winner, the timing, draft, and early-map pressure all matter here.
The specific question is simple: in Game 2 of Fluxo W7M vs. paiN Gaming, which team secures the first blood. The match is scheduled for June 7 at 12:00 PM ET, and the market resolves to Fluxo W7M or paiN Gaming depending on who gets that first kill in Game 2. If the game is never properly completed, is forfeited, or is delayed beyond the stated window, the market can settle 50-50 instead.
First blood is one of the earliest and most visible swing points in League of Legends, so even in a high-level playoff match there is real uncertainty about which team will strike first. Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming are both established names in the South America/LATAM scene, which makes this the kind of matchup where team tendencies, draft choices, and lane pressure can all shape the opening minutes. The market is essentially pricing a small but meaningful edge in how Game 2 starts rather than who wins the full series.
Anything that changes expectations for the early game can move this market, especially champion select, lane assignments, and whether either team drafts aggressively for early skirmishes or safer scaling. If Game 1 showed a clear pattern in how these teams approached the map, that can influence how people read the opening minutes of Game 2. Because the market is tied only to the second game, a substitution, remake, or unusual pause/stop in that specific game matters more here than the overall series score.
The current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe most important thing to verify is that Game 2 actually starts and finishes under the market rules, since cancellations, delays beyond seven days, forfeits, and walkovers can all force a 50-50 outcome. The official source named for resolution is gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence only becoming relevant if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. If Game 2 is remade or stopped early, the exact first-blood event before the stoppage is what counts, so readers should pay attention to the final official game record rather than just the series result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $10 in 24h volume, and $154.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Fluxo W7M
10%
paiN Gaming
90%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming in the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 2 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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