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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $6.2 in 24h volume, and $0.3 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$6.2
Liquidity
$0.3
This market asks a narrow but concrete League of Legends question: will Game 3 include at least one Quadra Kill from either team? It is a good page to watch when a series is expected to be close, because extended fights, late-game teamfights, and reset-heavy champions make a four-kill streak much more plausible.
The title points to Game 3 of an unspecified League of Legends match or series, with no teams named in the provided data. A Quadra Kill means one player secures four enemy champion kills in quick succession, and the market counts a Penta Kill as satisfying the condition too. If Game 3 is played, the outcome is simply whether that event happens at least once during the map; if the game is not played for any of the listed reasons, the market goes to 50-50 instead.
This kind of market is tied to how a single League of Legends game can swing between controlled objective play and chaotic late-game teamfights. Whether a Quadra Kill appears often depends on draft, scaling, and how messy the final fights become, so there is real uncertainty even before the game starts. The market is effectively pricing disagreement over whether Game 3 will feature one of those high-damage, multi-kill moments.
Anything that changes how Game 3 is likely to play can move this market: a one-sided draft, an early stomp, or a slow macro game usually lowers the chance of a Quadra Kill, while even teams, carry-heavy compositions, and long games tend to raise it. A roster change, substitute starter, or patch-driven meta shift can matter too, because it affects whether teams draft burst, teamfight, or scaling champions. If the series format makes Game 3 decisive, that can also encourage more conservative or more desperate play depending on the matchup.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is whether Game 3 is actually played, because the rules send canceled, delayed, forfeited, walkover, or unnecessary games to 50-50. For resolution, the market uses official results from gol.gg, with a fallback only if final results are not published within 2 hours after the event ends. Readers should also watch for remakes or an early surrender, since the rules say a remade game counts only on the remade version, and a surrendered game resolves from whether a Quadra Kill happened before the stop.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $6.2 in 24h volume, and $0.3 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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