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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $10 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific in-game question from a League of Legends series: in Game 3 between Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming, will both teams manage to take at least one elemental dragon? Dragons are a major objective because they shape map control and can signal which side is better positioned around neutral fights. The market is tied to the third game only, so the answer depends on what happens in that single match rather than the overall series.
A "Yes" result requires Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming to each secure at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. Only elemental dragons count here; Elder Dragon kills do not count toward the condition, and the description says the market resolves based on what happens in that specific game. The deadline shown on the page is 2026-06-08T03:30:00Z, and if Game 3 is not played or is not completed under the listed exception rules, the market can resolve to 50-50 instead of a normal game result.
There is real uncertainty because dragon control in League of Legends depends on draft, early jungle pressure, lane priority, and how aggressively both teams contest neutral objectives. A game can easily go one way early, with one side stacking dragons while the other never gets a clean setup, so "both teams slay a dragon" is a narrower outcome than simply asking who wins the match. The page also builds in special resolution cases for cancellations, forfeits, and games that never reach a full conclusion, which matters for a live esports schedule.
The biggest game-specific drivers are team comp, early jungle pathing, and whether either side can stabilize around the first dragon spawn at 5:00 game time. If one team drafts for lane pressure and objective control, that usually raises the odds of contested dragons, while a fast snowball or decisive side collapse can leave the other team with no dragon at all. Any sign that the series is being played as a full best-of with Game 3 actually needed also matters, because the market only has a normal in-game resolution if that map happens and reaches a usable result.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should verify that Game 3 is officially played and completed, since the rules say canceled games, walkovers, forfeits, or a series that ends before Game 3 all resolve to 50-50. The key source of truth is the actual in-game objective history for Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming in that map, with special attention to whether each side secured at least one elemental dragon before any surrender or stoppage. It is also worth checking whether the match reaches the dragon phase at all, because a very short or one-sided game can end before both teams ever touch a dragon.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $10 in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Fluxo W7M and paiN Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 3. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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