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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 27%, $54.7K in 24h volume, and $10.8K in liquidity.
Probability
27%
24h Volume
$54.7K
Liquidity
$10.8K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
99.5%
Change
+40.5%
High
99.5%
Low
54.5%
Karmine Corp moved from 59% to 99.5% over the last hour, trading between 54.5% and 99.5%.
Karmine Corp price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about the LEC Playoffs grand final between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp, with the handicap set at G2 (-1.5) versus Karmine Corp (+1.5). In plain terms, it asks whether G2 will finish the series at least two games ahead of Karmine Corp in the match scheduled for June 7. Because this is a grand final, the series format and any last-minute roster or schedule changes matter a lot to how the handicap plays out.
The market resolves on the final game count in the LoL Grand final match between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the LEC Playoffs. G2 resolves as the winner if it wins 2 or more games than Karmine Corp; otherwise, Karmine Corp resolves as the winner. The description says the match was initially scheduled for June 7 at 11:00AM ET, and the official resolution source is gol.gg, with credible reporting only used if final results are not posted within 2 hours after the event ends.
A handicap market like this exists because a final can be close even when one team is favored overall, and a 2-game margin is a stricter test than simply picking the match winner. G2 and Karmine Corp are both recognizable names in European League of Legends, so readers may be interested not just in who wins the trophy match, but in whether the final is clean or tightly contested. The market is pricing disagreement over whether G2 can separate itself by enough games to clear the -1.5 line.
The biggest price movers are match-related and immediate: the announced starting lineups, whether the series format stays intact, and how the teams perform in the early games of the final. Any roster substitution, technical pause, remake, forfeit, or schedule shift can matter here because the rules explicitly define how incomplete or unusual finishes are treated. Patch context and draft tendencies also matter in a best-of-series final, since a team that adapts well across games is more likely to cover a 1.5-game handicap than one that relies on a single map win.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 27% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should verify the official final score of the grand final and confirm that the match was actually completed, since canceled matches, unresolved delays, and certain incomplete outcomes can force a 50-50 result. The key source of truth is gol.gg, with video evidence or credible reporting only coming into play if final results are still missing after the stated window. It is also worth checking whether any game was won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default, because the rules say those results count toward the handicap if the match itself is completed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 27%, $54.7K in 24h volume, and $10.8K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
G2 Esports
27%
Karmine Corp
73%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports wins 2 or more games than Karmine Corp in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Karmine Corp". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 27%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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