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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.5 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0.5
This market asks a simple but very explosive question about Game 1 of a League of Legends series: will either team produce a Penta Kill? A Penta Kill means one player finishes off all five enemy champions in quick succession, so it is one of the rarest highlight moments in the game. The title also points to the G2 vs. KC matchup, which matters because team style, draft, and game pace can all affect whether a game ever reaches that kind of finishing sequence.
The event here is Game 1 only, not the full series, and the outcome is binary: "Yes" if any player on either side gets a Penta Kill during that first game, "No" if nobody does. The market is tied to the scheduled end date of 2026-06-07 21:20 UTC, and if the match is canceled, delayed more than seven days, never played, or Game 1 is skipped because the series is decided in advance, it resolves 50-50 under the rules. If Game 1 is remade, only the remade version counts.
Penta Kills are rare enough that even a high-profile match can easily finish without one, but aggressive teamfights, resets, and late-game carry champions can make them suddenly possible. That uncertainty is what this market is pricing: whether Game 1 becomes a clean, controlled win or a chaotic fight-heavy game where one player can chain five kills before the fight ends. The matchup name suggests a specific G2 vs. KC game, so readers should expect roster quality, draft choices, and game tempo to matter more than the broader series storyline.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 1 can move this market: especially champion select, lane matchups, and whether both teams draft late-game damage dealers or all-in teamfight compositions. Fast early snowballs can reduce the chance of a Penta Kill if the game ends before one player can stack kills, while long, messy teamfights can raise it if a carry is in position to clean up. A remade Game 1, an unexpected substitution, or a change to the match schedule would also matter because the rules only resolve on the played and completed version of Game 1.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is that Game 1 is actually played, completed, and not treated as a forfeit, walkover, or series-clinching non-game, because those cases resolve 50-50 here. For official resolution, the market points to gol.gg as the primary source, with credible reporting or video evidence used only if final results are still missing two hours after the event ends. Readers should also watch for remakes, since the rule says the remade Game 1 is the one that counts, and check whether any player officially recorded a Penta Kill in the final game state.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.5 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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