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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $0.5 in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0.5
This market asks a narrow but very specific League of Legends question: will anyone in Game 1 pick up a Quadra Kill, meaning one player secures four champion kills in quick succession. Those moments usually come from messy late-game fights, so the market is less about which team wins and more about whether the first game produces a big kill streak.
The outcome is based only on Game 1, and it resolves Yes if any player on either side gets a Quadra Kill during that game. A Penta Kill also counts, since it necessarily includes a Quadra Kill along the way. The market rules also cover unusual outcomes: if the game is canceled, never played, delayed beyond seven days, or not needed because the series is decided before Game 1, it resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
Quadra Kills are common enough in League of Legends to be plausible, but still rare enough that there is real uncertainty from match to match. Their likelihood depends on how bloodthirsty the draft and lane phase are, whether teams force repeated teamfights, and whether one side can stack kills onto a single carry in a decisive fight. The exact matchup is not fully spelled out in the market text, so readers should verify the scheduled Game 1 opponent and format, since those details can affect how likely a kill streak is to happen.
Anything that changes the expected style of Game 1 can matter here: aggressive drafts, high-damage compositions, scaling carries that can clean up fights, or teams known to contest objectives hard. Roster swaps, substitutions, patch-driven meta changes, and the series format can also influence whether the game tends to be scrappy or controlled. If the match is a one-off, a best-of series, or a game with uneven team strength, those factors can change how often one player is likely to snowball into four kills.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are the official Game 1 result, whether the game was fully played, and whether any remake, surrender, forfeit, or walkover changed how the market should resolve. The rules say the source of truth is official information from gol.gg/esports/home, with a fallback if final results are not published within two hours after the event concludes. Because the market is tied to a single map, readers should also check that the result being referenced is specifically Game 1 and not the series outcome or a later game.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $0.5 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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