esports
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific in-game question from Game 1 of a League of Legends series between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp: did both teams secure Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the most important neutral objectives in LoL, so whether each side takes it can be a sign of a longer, back-and-forth game rather than a one-sided finish. Because the market is tied to a single game, the outcome depends entirely on what happens on the Rift in that first map, not on the match result overall.
The question is whether G2 Esports and Karmine Corp each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 game time and can swing a match by granting the Hand of Baron buff to the team that secures it. The market resolves to Yes only if both teams get Baron in that one game; if either team fails to do so, it resolves to No. If the game is not played, is remade, ends in a way that prevents full completion, or is otherwise ruled out under the listed conditions, the market can resolve 50-50 instead.
This market exists because Baron control is a concrete and often decisive part of professional League of Legends, but it is still uncertain whether a given game will last long enough for both teams to claim it. A fast stomp can end before a second Baron even matters, while a close, extended game can create several opportunities for both sides to take the objective. The disagreement being priced is essentially about game pace and balance: will Game 1 be long and messy enough for both G2 and Karmine Corp to each secure Baron at least once?
Anything that changes expectations for game length or objective trading can move the market. Team composition, draft style, and patch or meta tendencies matter here because scaling, split-push, or teamfight-heavy setups can lead to longer games with more Baron contests, while early-snowball drafts can reduce the chance that both teams ever take it. Roster changes, substitutions, and which side controls the early map can also matter, because a team that gets ahead early may take Baron multiple times before the opponent ever gets one, or close the game before the second team can answer.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is the official result for Game 1, since the market resolves from final match information on gol.gg if available. Readers should check whether Game 1 was actually played to completion, whether it was remade, surrendered, or otherwise interrupted, and whether the official record shows Baron kills for both teams in that specific game. The date and deadline matter because if the match is canceled, delayed beyond seven days, or Game 1 never happens for the reasons listed in the rules, the market can fall back to 50-50 rather than a normal win/loss outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both G2 Esports and Karmine Corp each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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