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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 90%, $16.7 in 24h volume, and $136.3 in liquidity.
Probability
90%
24h Volume
$16.7
Liquidity
$136.3
This market asks a narrow in-game question about the first game of G2 Esports vs. Karmine Corp: will both sides secure at least one elemental dragon in Game 1? In League of Legends, dragons are a major objective because they give teamwide advantages and often signal who is controlling the map. That makes this a useful read on early objective trading, not just who wins the game.
The outcome depends on Game 1 of the G2 Esports versus Karmine Corp match, scheduled for June 7, 2026, at 21:20 UTC. It resolves “Yes” only if G2 and Karmine Corp each slay at least one elemental dragon during that game; if either team gets none, it resolves “No.” Only elemental dragons count here, so Elder Dragon kills do not qualify, and the page’s rules also say that if the game is not played for cancellation, forfeiture, walkover, or because the series is already decided, the market resolves 50-50.
This market is about a specific slice of League of Legends gameplay that can go either way even in matches between strong teams. Some games feature repeated dragon contests and map pressure from both sides, while others are decided through faster tempo, lane priority, or a different objective pattern that leaves one team without a dragon take. Readers are essentially looking at whether Game 1 will be active enough around the dragon pit for both rosters to claim at least one elemental dragon.
Anything that changes how Game 1 is likely to unfold around early and midgame objectives can matter here, including draft choices that strengthen dragon fighting, roster changes that affect coordination, or a patch that shifts the value of early setup versus scaling. Map control, bot-side priority, and whether a team can force or avoid contests around the first two dragon spawns are especially relevant because the market needs both teams to register at least one elemental dragon. A very one-sided game can push the outcome toward only one team taking dragons, while a slower trading game can make “Yes” more plausible.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 90% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is whether Game 1 is actually played and completed, because the rules treat cancellation, delayed play beyond seven days, forfeits, walkovers, and some series-level no-contest scenarios as 50-50. If the game starts and ends early, the important question is whether each team had already secured at least one elemental dragon before stoppage. For final settlement, the source of truth is the official in-game result and objective record for Game 1, with special attention to the distinction between elemental dragons and Elder Dragon kills.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 90%, $16.7 in 24h volume, and $136.3 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
90%
No
10%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both G2 Esports and Karmine Corp each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 90%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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