
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $49 in 24h volume, and $176.5 in liquidity.
Probability
10%
24h Volume
$49
Liquidity
$176.5
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
90.5%
Change
+48.5%
High
90.5%
Low
42%
Karmine Corp moved from 42% to 90.5% over the full available history, trading between 42% and 90.5%.
Karmine Corp price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market asks which side will draw first blood in Game 1 of the LEC Playoffs grand final between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp. In League of Legends, first blood is the first kill of the game, so this is a fast, early-game question rather than a full-match winner call.
The event is the grand final match in the LEC Playoffs, scheduled for June 7 at 11:00 AM ET, and the market resolves on the team that secures first blood in Game 1. The two possible outcomes are G2 Esports or Karmine Corp, and if Game 1 never produces a first blood or the match is voided under the listed rules, the market goes to 50-50. The official resolution source is gol.gg, with a fallback to credible reporting and video evidence if final results are not posted within two hours after the match ends.
First blood is a small moment, but in a high-stakes final it can reflect which team starts more aggressively, drafts for early pressure, or gets the cleaner opening read on the map. G2 and Karmine Corp are prominent LEC teams, so this market is really about which roster takes the initiative in the opening minutes of the first game, not who wins the series. Because the question is so specific, even strong teams can look evenly matched here, which is why the market can stay uncertain right up to the opening minutes.
Anything that changes expectations for the early game can matter here: draft trends that favor aggressive laners, jungle pathing that points toward an early gank, or team compositions built around level-one pressure and river control. If either side has a clear reputation in this matchup or in the final for forcing early skirmishes, that would typically push opinion toward that team getting first blood. If the game starts slowly or the draft suggests scaling and weak early fighting, that can make the market look closer to a coin flip.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 10% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Read the rules carefully on partial games, remakes, forfeits, and delays, because those details decide whether the market resolves on the first blood event or falls back to 50-50. The key source of truth is the official result posted on gol.gg, so readers should verify the completed Game 1 outcome there first, then check whether any remake or stoppage changed how first blood is recorded. The market’s deadline is tied to the scheduled June 7 match window, but the practical cutoff is the actual completion of Game 1 and any official reporting shortly afterward.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 10%, $49 in 24h volume, and $176.5 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
G2 Esports
9.5%
Karmine Corp
90.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Grand final match between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 1 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 10%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$10.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-3%
24h Vol
$883.9
Liquidity
$1.7K
Spread
6%
12/31/2026
View market