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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $49 in 24h volume, and $2.3 in liquidity.
Probability
49%
24h Volume
$49
Liquidity
$2.3
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
49%
Change
-1%
High
60.5%
Low
49%
G2 Esports moved from 50% to 49% over the last week, trading between 49% and 60.5%.
G2 Esports price history from Polymarket CLOB.
11 points
This market asks a very specific question about the LEC Playoffs grand final between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp: which team will draw first blood in Game 2. Because it concerns a single early-game event inside one map, it is sensitive to draft, lane setup, and any unusual start to the game, not just who wins the match overall.
The title refers to Game 2 of the grand final, scheduled for June 7 at 11:00 AM ET, and the only outcome that matters here is which side gets the first kill in that game. The two possible resolutions are G2 Esports or Karmine Corp. If Game 2 is not fully played, is remade, is forfeited, or ends with no first blood at all, the market rules spell out fallback outcomes, including a 50-50 resolution in some cases.
First blood is a narrow, high-variance event, even in a top-tier final, because it can come from a level-one setup, an early jungle path, a lane gank, or a small misread in the opening minutes. Fans following G2 and Karmine Corp will care because the market is not asking who is the better team in the series overall, but which roster is more likely to land the opening kill in one particular game. That makes the question dependent on matchup-specific early-game tendencies rather than the final score alone.
Anything that changes expectations for the opening minutes of Game 2 can matter here, especially draft choices that create strong level-one pressure, early skirmish potential, or safer lanes. In a best-of series final, adaptation between games can also matter: if one team shows a clear early-pathing pattern or a weak side lane in Game 1, that can influence how observers think about Game 2 first blood. Because this market resolves on the first kill in that one game, even a brief pause, remake, or unusual opening sequence could be important under the rules.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 49% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that the match is actually played as scheduled and that Game 2 is completed or handled according to the listed edge cases. The resolution source is official information from gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. The main ambiguity risks are a remake, a delayed start beyond the seven-day cutoff, or a completed game in which no first blood happens at all, since each of those triggers a specific fallback rule.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, $49 in 24h volume, and $2.3 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
G2 Esports
49%
Karmine Corp
51%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Grand final match between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 2 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 49%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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