
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will anyone in Game 3 record a Quadra Kill, meaning four rapid champion kills by one player. It is worth watching because this kind of highlight usually comes from chaotic teamfights, big leads, or late-game damage spikes, and the answer depends entirely on what happens in that single game.
The event is Game 3 of an unnamed League of Legends series, with resolution tied to whether any player on either side gets a Quadra Kill during that game. A Penta Kill also counts as a Quadra Kill for this market, and the official source for the result is listed as gol.gg esports results. The market also has special handling for edge cases: if Game 3 is never played, is canceled, is delayed too long, or ends in a walkover/forfeit, it resolves to 50-50 rather than Yes or No.
Quadra Kills are uncommon enough that there is real uncertainty around them, even in high-tempo pro play. Whether one happens in Game 3 depends on team compositions, how close the series is, how long the game lasts, and whether fights break out in a way that lets one player clean up multiple kills in sequence.
Anything that changes the expected shape of Game 3 can matter: a draft built around teamfighting, hyper-carry damage dealers, reset-heavy champions, or compositions that are likely to produce long late-game fights can make a Quadra Kill more plausible. A quick one-sided game with few large fights usually pushes the other way, while a close back-and-forth game with repeated teamfights increases the chance that one player chains several kills together. If the series does not reach a Game 3, the market does not resolve on gameplay at all and instead follows the cancellation/50-50 rules in the description.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify that Game 3 is actually scheduled to be played and completed, since a series that ends earlier or is not played at all resolves to 50-50 under the stated rules. The key source of truth is the official result page on gol.gg, and if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends, the market description says a different fallback source may be used. Because this market is about one game only, the main ambiguity to watch for is whether the map finishes normally, ends via surrender, or is remade, since those outcomes change how the result is determined.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$314.3K
Liquidity
$15.5K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$254.7K
Liquidity
$10.8K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$195.6K
Liquidity
$11.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.7K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-3%
24h Vol
$883.9
Liquidity
$1.7K
Spread
6%
12/31/2026
View market