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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.7 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0.7
This market asks a very specific in-game question from a League of Legends series: in Game 3, will both G2 Esports and Karmine Corp each secure Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the biggest neutral objectives in League, so this is a test of late-game map control, objective trading, and which team can turn a lead into a decisive take.
The outcome is tied only to Game 3 of the G2 Esports vs. Karmine Corp match listed for June 7, 2026. A “Yes” means G2 and KC each killed Baron Nashor at least once during that game; a “No” means at least one of the two teams never did. The market uses official results from gol.gg as the main source of truth, with special fallback rules if the game is canceled, never played, remade, or ends in a way that prevents a normal result.
This kind of prop is uncertain because Baron takes several conditions to secure: teams need vision, a favorable fight, enough damage, and usually a mid-to-late-game state where the objective matters. Even when both teams are evenly matched, one side may control the map well enough to deny the other a Baron, while in other games the objective can swing back and forth as teams contest it repeatedly. The market is effectively pricing how likely this specific game is to feature at least one Baron for each side rather than just one-sided control.
Draft and matchup style matter a lot, because scaling compositions, heavy engage, or slower macro games can create more Baron setups than fast stomp games. Any information about roster changes, substitutions, or a series reaching a decisive Game 3 can also matter, since longer, more contested games are more likely to produce multiple Baron attempts. In-play signs such as a stalled gold lead, repeated dragon or vision fights, or both teams grouping around the pit are the clearest clues that this outcome is becoming more likely.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, readers should check whether Game 3 is actually played to completion, since cancellations, walkovers, forfeits, or a series ending early all trigger the special 50-50 rules. If the game is remade, only the remade version counts, and if the match ends by surrender, the result depends on whether both teams had already slain Baron before the stop. The key source is the official match record on gol.gg, so the important thing to verify is the final Game 3 timeline, not just the series winner.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $0.7 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both G2 Esports and Karmine Corp each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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