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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will any player record a Quadra Kill in Game 4 of the series? A Quadra Kill means one player secures four champion kills in a short burst, and a Penta Kill also counts for this market because it includes a Quadra Kill on the way to five.
The event is tied to Game 4, so the key issue is whether that fourth map is actually played and, if it is, whether anyone on either team reaches a Quadra Kill before the game ends. If the series ends earlier than Game 4, or Game 4 is canceled, delayed too long, or never needed because one team clinches before then, the market does not resolve as a standard yes/no and instead follows the stated 50-50 rules. The official resolution source is gol.gg, which matters because the market will be settled from match results there rather than from commentary or secondary recaps.
Quadra Kills are relatively rare in League of Legends and usually depend on a game where one team fight runs long enough for a carry player to clean up multiple low-health targets. That makes this a live question even before the game begins, because match tempo, team fighting style, and how close the series is all affect the chance of seeing a highlight-heavy fight. The market is essentially pricing disagreement over whether Game 4 will be bloody and decisive enough for one player to chain four kills in succession.
The biggest swing factor is whether Game 4 is guaranteed to happen at all; if the series is over before then, this market shifts toward the special resolution rules rather than a normal in-game outcome. If the map does get played, draft and roster choices can matter a lot: carry-heavy compositions, late-game scaling, or teams known for extended team fights can raise the chance of a Quadra Kill, while slower, lower-kill games can suppress it. A remade game, surrender, or other unusual finish also matters because the rules say only the completed or remade Game 4 outcome counts, and a Penta Kill would still satisfy the condition.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this resolves, readers should verify whether Game 4 is actually played, completed, remade, or never needed because the series ended earlier. The source of truth is the official result posted on gol.gg, and the rules also create a 2-hour fallback window if final results are not published there promptly. The main ambiguity to watch is not just whether the match happened, but whether a qualifying Quadra Kill occurred in the specific version of Game 4 that is used for settlement.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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