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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 4 between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp: will both teams take Baron Nashor at least once? Because Baron is one of the most important late-game objectives in LoL, this is a narrow but meaningful way to measure whether the game becomes a long, contested macro battle. The market is only about Game 4 itself, not the series overall.
Baron Nashor is the powerful neutral objective that appears at 20:00 game time and gives the Hand of Baron buff to the team that secures it. For this market to resolve to Yes, G2 Esports must slay Baron at least once in Game 4 and Karmine Corp must also slay Baron at least once in that same game. If either team never secures Baron, or if Game 4 is not played or cannot be completed under the stated rules, the market resolves accordingly under the event rules.
There is real uncertainty because Baron control depends on how the game develops: some League of Legends games end before Baron ever matters, while others feature repeated fights around the pit. Fans watching G2 and Karmine Corp may care because this is a clean, objective way to track whether both teams reach a late-game state where map control, vision, and objective trading all matter. The market is pricing disagreement about whether this single game will be long and competitive enough for both sides to claim Baron at least once.
The biggest price movers are anything that changes the likelihood of a long game: early kills, quick towers, dragons, or a snowballing lead can make a Baron less likely, while even teams trading objectives and extending the game can raise the odds that both sides get one. Draft choices that suggest scaling compositions, waveclear, or strong objective setup can also matter because they often point toward longer games with more Baron setups. If the game is remade, surrendered, or never reaches the late stage where Baron spawns, those outcomes matter directly under the market rules.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should watch whether Game 4 is actually played to completion and whether the game reaches the 20-minute mark, since Baron cannot spawn before then. The official source of truth is listed as gol.gg esports home, but the description is truncated, so it is worth verifying the final published result there if the page does not fully update. Also check for special edge cases in the rules: cancellation, delay beyond seven days, walkover, or a series ending before Game 4 would all change how the market resolves.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both G2 Esports and Karmine Corp each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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