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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
-3%
High
54%
Low
43%
Over moved from 53% to 50% over the last 6 hours, trading between 43% and 54%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will Game 4 of the LEC Playoffs grand final between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp finish with at least 31 total kills, or 30 or fewer? Because it focuses on one game in a best-of series, small changes in pace, drafts, and game length can matter a lot. The matchup and stage are important here: a grand final tends to bring more structured play, but it can also produce explosive games if the series is close or if both teams draft aggressively. Readers watching this market should pay attention to whether the series even reaches Game 4, since this contract is only about that single map.
The title, "Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?", means the contract resolves from the combined kills in the fourth game of the grand final between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the LEC Playoffs. It resolves to "Over" if Game 4 has 31 or more kills, and "Under" if it ends with 30 or fewer. The market description says the match was initially scheduled for June 7 at 11:00AM ET, and the official result source is gol.gg, with fallback to credible reporting or video evidence if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. If the match is canceled, delayed by more than seven days, or Game 4 is never completed, the market settles 50-50 instead of either side winning.
Game totals in League of Legends can swing widely depending on draft style, objective fights, early snowballing, and whether a team is trying to close the game slowly or force fights. In a grand final, teams may play cautiously at times, but the pressure of a title match can also produce chaotic mid-game skirmishes and high kill counts. This market prices the disagreement over which version of Game 4 is more likely: a cleaner, lower-kill game controlled through lanes and objectives, or a messy back-and-forth map with repeated fights. Because it is tied to one specific game rather than the whole series, a single draft or momentum shift can be enough to change the outcome.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.3K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe biggest driver is whether the series actually reaches Game 4, since this contract only matters if that map is played. If the first three games are one-sided, the market may become irrelevant because the match could end before a fourth game is needed. If Game 4 is scheduled in the context of a tied, extended, or momentum-shifting final, that can point toward a more volatile map with more kills. Draft choices also matter: engage-heavy team compositions, high-damage skirmish setups, or champions that force fights usually raise the chance of an over; slower scaling drafts, strong disengage, or more objective-focused play can point the other way.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check that the grand final is actually played and that Game 4 completes normally, because a forfeit, walkover, cancellation, or abandoned game changes the settlement to 50-50 under the rules. The key source of truth is gol.gg, with video evidence or other credible reporting only coming into play if final results are still missing after the two-hour grace period. It is also worth confirming that the kills counted are for the remade Game 4 only if a remake happens, since the rules explicitly say the remade version controls resolution. The main ambiguity risk is simple but important: this is not about the series total, only the kill count in that one game of G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Grand final match between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 11:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 4. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 4 is 31 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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