esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 63%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $26.8K in liquidity.
Probability
63%
24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$26.8K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
62.5%
Change
+12.5%
High
62.5%
Low
50%
G2 Esports moved from 50% to 62.5% over the last day, trading between 50% and 62.5%.
G2 Esports price history from Polymarket CLOB.
45 points
This market asks a very specific question about the LEC Playoffs grand final between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp: who will win Game 4. Because it is tied to one game rather than the full match, the outcome can turn on draft, momentum, and how the series has unfolded up to that point.
The title and description refer to League of Legends: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp, the grand final in the LEC Playoffs, with an initial schedule of June 7 at 11:00AM ET. The market resolves to G2 Esports if they win Game 4, to Karmine Corp if they win Game 4, and to 50-50 if Game 4 is never completed or the match is canceled or delayed too long under the stated rules.
A best-of series can look very different from game to game, especially in a grand final where adaptation matters and both teams can change draft priorities, map control plans, and lane matchups between games. G2 Esports and Karmine Corp are familiar names in European League of Legends, so readers will care not just about the series winner, but about whether one team can hold up in the crucial fourth game after the earlier games have already shaped the matchup.
The biggest price moves would come from the series scoreline and the result of the earlier games, since Game 4 only happens in a live, progressing final. Roster changes, substitute usage, draft bans, or an obvious shift in patch-based strategy can also change how likely either side looks to take the next map, especially if one team has already shown a strong read on the opponent. If the match schedule changes, pauses become prolonged, or the event format leads to a different competitive context than expected, that can matter too.
The current market price implies roughly a 63% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketReaders should verify whether Game 4 actually starts and finishes, since the market has explicit 50-50 rules if the game is not completed or the match is canceled or delayed beyond seven days. The official source of truth is gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting or video evidence only used if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. It is also worth checking the event time and whether the grand final is still being played under the same scheduled conditions, because the market is tied to that exact Game 4 rather than the overall match result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 63%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $26.8K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
G2 Esports
62.5%
Karmine Corp
37.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 4 against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 4 against G2 Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 63%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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