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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will any player score a Quadra Kill in Game 5 of the series? Because Game 5 only happens in a tightly contested best-of-five, the outcome depends not just on team strength but on whether the final map becomes chaotic enough for one player to chain four kills in a row.
A Quadra Kill means one player personally secures four enemy champion kills in rapid succession during Game 5. The market resolves Yes if that happens for either team, and a Penta Kill also counts because it includes a Quadra Kill on the way to five kills. If Game 5 is never played, is canceled, delayed more than 7 days, or ends without being completed for the reasons listed in the rules, the market can resolve to 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
Quadra Kills are rare enough that a single late-game fight can decide this market, which makes the final game of a series especially relevant. Game 5 matters because it is the last chance for either roster to produce a high-impact teamfight and because the map state, draft, and pressure of elimination can all affect how often multi-kill moments appear.
Anything that changes the likelihood of a messy, kill-heavy final game can matter here: the team compositions drafted for Game 5, whether the series has been close enough to reach a decider, and whether either side is likely to favor aggressive skirmishes or safer macro play. Roster substitutions, emergency role changes, or other late series adjustments would also be relevant if they affect how fights are taken and who is positioned to clean up kills.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is whether Game 5 is actually played, since the market has explicit 50-50 rules if the series ends early, is canceled, or is delayed too long. For resolution, the market uses official results from gol.gg/esports/home, so readers should check that source after the match ends and note any remake, surrender, or partial-game edge case described in the rules. If the page’s schedule or match status changes, that affects whether this question resolves normally or by the special fallback rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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