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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: if G2 Esports and Karmine Corp reach a deciding Game 5, will both teams take Baron Nashor at least once before the game ends? Baron is often one of the clearest signs that a late-game match has opened up, so this market is most relevant in a long, competitive series where both sides have time to contest major objectives.
The outcome is tied to a single game in the series, not the full match: Game 5 between G2 Esports and Karmine Corp. It resolves to Yes only if each team slays Baron Nashor at least once during that game; if either side never secures Baron, the answer is No. The market is scheduled to end on 2026-06-07 at 21:20 UTC, and if Game 5 is never played, is canceled, or is pushed beyond the stated window, it resolves 50-50 under the posted rules.
Baron Nashor is one of the most important neutral objectives in League of Legends because it can swing map control, siege power, and the ability to close out a close game. Whether both teams get a Baron in the same game depends on draft, pace, objective trading, and whether the series goes deep enough to create multiple late-game swings. That leaves a real amount of uncertainty in a high-stakes Game 5, especially in a matchup where both sides may have to fight repeatedly around major objectives.
A series that reaches Game 5 is the biggest prerequisite, since the market only matters if the final game is actually played. In-game, early leads, slower scaling drafts, or repeated teamfights around dragon and Baron setups can make it more likely that both teams eventually secure the objective, while one-sided snowballs can leave only one side with a Baron or prevent any Baron from being taken at all. If the game ends early, is remade, or is decided by surrender, those resolution rules matter just as much as the gameplay itself.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$15.2K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is that Game 5 is actually played to completion, because if the series ends before a fifth game is needed, the market resolves 50-50. For final settlement, the stated source of truth is official information from gol.gg, so the relevant check is whether the final match record shows both G2 Esports and Karmine Corp slaying Baron Nashor in the remade or completed Game 5. Readers should also watch for edge cases in the rules, especially a remade game, a surrender before completion, or a delay beyond the seven-day cutoff.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 5: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
50%
No
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both G2 Esports and Karmine Corp each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 5. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 5. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 5 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 5 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 5 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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