esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 60%, $90.6K in 24h volume, and $51.7K in liquidity.
Probability
60%
24h Volume
$90.6K
Liquidity
$51.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
40.5%
Change
-5.5%
High
47.5%
Low
38.5%
JD Gaming moved from 46% to 40.5% over the last week, trading between 38.5% and 47.5%.
JD Gaming price history from Polymarket CLOB.
35 points
This market is about the LPL Playoffs lower-bracket quarterfinal between Bilibili Gaming and JD Gaming, and it is specifically tracking the map handicap rather than just the match winner. Because the line is set at BLG (-1.5), the market is really asking whether Bilibili Gaming can win the series by at least two games.
The event is the LoL Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2 in the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET. Under the rules here, the market resolves to Bilibili Gaming if BLG wins the match by 2 or more games; otherwise it resolves to JD Gaming. If the match is not played, is tied, or is left unresolved beyond the stated 7-day window, the market goes to 50-50, and the official results source is gol.gg unless final results are still missing shortly after the event.
A handicap market like this asks a different question from a straight series-winner market: it is about whether the stronger side can win cleanly, not just survive. In an LPL playoff setting, that can hinge on roster form, draft quality, and whether one team can string together decisive games rather than dropping one or more maps in a long series. Traders are weighing BLG’s ability to win by margin against JD Gaming’s chance to keep the series close or take it outright.
Anything that changes expectations for the series score can move this market, especially starting lineups, substitutions, or any last-minute roster news before the match. Because this is a League of Legends playoff series, map-by-map form matters: early wins, draft phase advantages, and whether either team looks capable of forcing a 2-0 or 2-1 shape will all affect how the handicap is priced. If the match format, schedule, or official result reporting changes, that can also matter because this market has specific rules for delays, forfeits, and unfinished matches.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 60% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should check that the match is actually played and that the official series result matches the handicap rules rather than just the winner of one game. The key source of truth is gol.gg, with credible reporting used only if final results are not posted within two hours after conclusion. It is also worth verifying whether the series ends normally, via forfeit or disqualification, or gets delayed beyond the 7-day cutoff, because those scenarios can change the outcome to 50-50 under the market rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 60%, $90.6K in 24h volume, and $51.7K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Bilibili Gaming
59.5%
JD Gaming
40.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming wins 2 or more games than JD Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "JD Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 60%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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