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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 22%, $83.7 in 24h volume, and $174.3 in liquidity.
Probability
22%
24h Volume
$83.7
Liquidity
$174.3
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: will anyone on JD Gaming or Bilibili Gaming get a Penta Kill in Game 1 of their match on June 6, 2026. A Penta Kill is one player taking the final five enemy champions in quick succession, so this is a highlight-reel event rather than a routine win condition.
The outcome depends only on Game 1, not the full series. If any player on either side records a Penta Kill during that first game, the market resolves to Yes; if Game 1 ends without one, it resolves to No. The rules also spell out edge cases: a canceled match, a delay of more than seven days, a forfeit, or a Game 1 that is never played because the series is already decided all resolve to 50-50, while a remake is judged on the remade game only.
Penta Kills are uncommon even in high-scoring pro League of Legends games, so there is always uncertainty around whether a single map will produce one. Fans may care because this outcome usually depends on how extended the fights get, how much cleanup damage is available, and whether one team can repeatedly secure kills late in the game. The market is essentially pricing the chance that Game 1 turns chaotic enough for one player to finish all five opponents.
Anything that points toward a messy, high-damage Game 1 can make a Penta Kill feel more plausible, especially if both teams draft champions that excel in teamfights, resets, or late-game cleanup. Fast, one-sided games can also matter: if one team snowballs hard enough to repeatedly force grouped fights, a single carry may have the opportunity to secure the last few kills at once. On the other hand, slower macro-heavy games, split-push drafts, or early concessions in kill pressure generally make a Penta Kill less likely.
The current market price implies roughly a 22% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key source for the final result is official match information on gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence used only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Readers should verify that Game 1 actually takes place, because the market has special 50-50 rules for cancellation, delay, forfeit, or series conditions that prevent Game 1 from being played. It is also worth checking whether the first game is remade or stopped early, since the rules say the remade version controls resolution and a completed Game 1 with no Penta Kill still counts as No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 22%, $83.7 in 24h volume, and $174.3 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
21.7%
No
78.4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 22%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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