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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.2 in 24h volume, and $235.4 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$1.2
Liquidity
$235.4
This market asks a simple but very specific League of Legends question: will either team produce a Quadra Kill in Game 1 of JDG vs. BLG? A Quadra Kill means one player secures four kills in a short span, so the market is really watching for a big teamfight swing or a dominant cleanup moment early in the series. Because it resolves on Game 1 only, the first map matters even if the rest of the match turns out differently.
The title refers to JDG and BLG, two Chinese esports teams whose first game is scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. The outcome is binary: "Yes" if any player on either side gets a Quadra Kill during Game 1, and "No" if nobody does. The rules also say a Penta Kill counts as a Quadra Kill for this market, so a five-kill sequence still resolves in the affirmative.
Quadra Kills are uncommon, but they are much more likely in games with clustered teamfights, reset-heavy champions, or one-sided late-game fights where a carry can finish multiple low-health opponents. That makes this a narrower question than simply who wins the map: a team can lose and still create the right fight pattern for a Quadra Kill, or win cleanly without ever stacking enough kills for one. The uncertainty is whether Game 1 develops into the kind of chaotic, high-kill map that produces a highlight play.
Lineups, drafting choices, and any late roster change matter because certain champions and team styles create more multi-kill chances than others. Patch and meta shifts can also matter if they favor dive, resets, or burst damage, since those conditions can make four consecutive kills more likely in one fight. During the match, early skirmishes, dragon fights, Baron setups, and extended late-game teamfights are the moments most likely to push this market toward "Yes."
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe main source of truth is the official result information from gol.gg, with the market rules saying the game should resolve from the remade Game 1 if there is one. Readers should confirm whether Game 1 is actually played, whether it is completed, and whether any unusual event such as a remake, surrender, cancellation, or walkover changes the resolution path. If the map is delayed by more than seven days, or if it never happens for the reasons listed in the rules, the market resolves 50-50 rather than to either side.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.2 in 24h volume, and $235.4 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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