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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $4.9 in 24h volume, and $655.8 in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$4.9
Liquidity
$655.8
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question about Game 1 between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming: will both teams manage to take at least one elemental dragon? It is a narrow objective-based stat that often reflects how contested the early and midgame are, rather than who simply wins the match. Because dragon control can swing team fights and map pressure, this is the kind of market that can turn quickly if either side commits to early objectives.
The outcome depends only on Game 1 of JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming. A "Yes" means JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during that game, using the standard LoL dragon types described in the rules: Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud. Elder Dragon kills do not count here, and the market resolves from the completed game state rather than the final series score.
There is uncertainty because dragon-taking is shaped by draft, lane priority, jungle paths, and how aggressively each team chooses to contest early objectives. In some games one team snowballs the first dragon stack while the other avoids fights entirely; in others, both sides trade dragons as they contest vision and map control. That makes this a useful market for readers who want a finer-grained view of how Game 1 develops, not just which team wins.
The biggest price movers are draft and early-game approach: compositions with strong lane control or skirmishing usually make contested dragons more likely, while scaling or side-lane setups can reduce early objective fights. Roster changes, a different jungle matchup, or a series of clean setups around the 5:00 dragon spawn can also shift expectations quickly. During the game, first-dragon contests, repeated teleport usage, and whether each team shows up to fight or gives up space are the clearest live signals.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check that Game 1 is actually played and completed, because the rules send canceled, delayed, forfeited, walkover, or unnecessary games to 50-50. The source of truth is the completed Game 1 itself, with only elemental dragon kills counting and Elder Dragon excluded. If the game ends early by surrender, the key question is whether both teams had already secured at least one elemental dragon before the stoppage; if not, the market resolves to No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $4.9 in 24h volume, and $655.8 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
99.5%
No
0.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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