
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, $1.6 in 24h volume, and $406.6 in liquidity.
Probability
46%
24h Volume
$1.6
Liquidity
$406.6
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
45.5%
Change
+0.5%
High
45.5%
Low
45%
JD Gaming moved from 45% to 45.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 45% and 45.5%.
JD Gaming price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market asks which side will draw first blood in Game 1 of the LPL Playoffs lower bracket quarterfinal between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming. In League of Legends, first blood is the first kill of the map, so this is an early-game read on which team is likely to set the pace right away.
The event is the June 6 lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, with Game 1 scheduled for 5:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the team that gets the first kill in that first game, and if Game 1 is never completed or produces no first blood, the market follows the special 50-50 rules spelled out in the description.
First blood is a small moment, but it often reflects early lane pressure, jungle pathing, and how aggressively each team wants to play the opening minutes. JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming are both major LPL names, so the market is really pricing which roster is more likely to win the first skirmish in a playoff setting where draft, early rotations, and nerves can matter a lot.
Any confirmed change to the match schedule, lineup, or game status can move this market quickly, especially if Game 1 is delayed or there is a remake scenario under the stated rules. Because the outcome is tied only to first blood in Game 1, draft style, early-game compositions, and official pre-match information about the teams are the most relevant things to watch, along with the final Game 1 result once the match is played.
The current market price implies roughly a 46% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key source for resolution is the official result record on gol.gg, with credible video-based reporting allowed only if final results are not posted within two hours after the match ends. Readers should verify whether Game 1 was actually completed, whether any remake or stoppage occurred, and whether first blood happened before any interruption, because those details change the outcome under the market rules. The scheduled date and 7-day delay cutoff also matter, since a canceled or substantially delayed match resolves to 50-50 rather than to either team.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 46%, $1.6 in 24h volume, and $406.6 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
JD Gaming
45.5%
Bilibili Gaming
54.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 1 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 46%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

--
24h Vol
$537.5K
Liquidity
$3.4K
Spread
3%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4.2K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-2%
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Spread
5%
12/31/2026
View market
+2.5%
24h Vol
$289.5
Liquidity
$2.3K
Spread
4%
12/31/2026
View market
+5.5%
24h Vol
$232.7
Liquidity
$3.1K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market