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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 61%, $14.5 in 24h volume, and $388.6 in liquidity.
Probability
61%
24h Volume
$14.5
Liquidity
$388.6
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
61%
Change
+9.5%
High
70.5%
Low
41.5%
Over moved from 51.5% to 61% over the last day, trading between 41.5% and 70.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
48 points
This market asks a simple but very specific question about Game 1 of JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs: will the map finish with 27 or more kills, or 26 and under? Because it is tied to one game in a best-of series, the answer depends on the pace of that opening map rather than the overall match result. It is worth watching because kill totals in League of Legends often swing with draft style, early fights, and how cleanly teams convert leads.
The title refers to the total number of kills in Game 1 of the Lower bracket quarterfinal matchup between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming. The market resolves to Over if the completed Game 1 has at least 27 kills, and Under if it ends on 26 or fewer. The scheduled date in the description is June 6 at 5:00 AM ET, and the official resolution source is gol.gg, with fallback to credible reporting if final results are not posted within two hours after the event concludes.
JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming are two well-known LPL teams, and playoff games between top Chinese squads can play very differently depending on draft, tempo, and objective fights. A low-kill map can happen if one side controls the game cleanly, while a chaotic back-and-forth game can push the total well above the line. The market is pricing that uncertainty around whether the first game will be a controlled playoff opener or a high-action fight-heavy map.
Anything that changes expectations for Game 1 pace can move this market, especially draft tendencies, side selection, and whether either team leans into early skirmish champions or scaling picks. A more aggressive meta, a roster substitution that alters team fighting or early-game coordination, or an expected mismatch in lane pressure can all point toward more kills. By contrast, if the matchup is expected to be methodical, with slower scaling compositions or a cautious best-of series start, that tends to favor the Under.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 61% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, readers should verify that Game 1 was actually completed, since the rules send canceled matches, forfeits, walkovers, delays beyond seven days, or incomplete games to 50-50. If there is a remake, only the remake counts for the final kill total, which can matter if the original game had a different pace before being redone. The source of truth is the official result on gol.gg, with credible reporting used only if final results are not available promptly after the match.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 61%, $14.5 in 24h volume, and $388.6 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
61%
Under
39%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 27 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 61%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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