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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 38%, $15.9 in 24h volume, and $1.3K in liquidity.
Probability
38%
24h Volume
$15.9
Liquidity
$1.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
38%
Change
-3.5%
High
41.5%
Low
38%
Over moved from 41.5% to 38% over the last 6 hours, trading between 38% and 41.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market asks whether Game 1 of JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs will produce at least 31 total kills. It is tied to the Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 matchup, so the result depends on one specific game, not the full series, which makes draft style and early-game pace especially important.
The question is narrowly focused on the first map of the JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming playoff match. ‘Over 30.5’ means the market resolves to Over only if Game 1 ends with 31 or more combined kills; 30 or fewer kills resolves to Under. The match is scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET, and the official resolution source is gol.gg, with a fallback to credible reporting or video evidence if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends.
Kill totals in League of Legends can swing sharply from game to game because they depend on draft priorities, lane pressure, objective fights, and whether teams choose slower, lower-risk setups or constant skirmishing. JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming are well-known LPL teams, and playoff games between strong Chinese squads often draw attention because the pace can change quickly once pressure builds around early dragons, towers, and teamfights. The market is pricing the disagreement over whether Game 1 will be clean and controlled or chaotic enough to push the kill count above this threshold.
The biggest price moves usually come from the Game 1 draft and the early minutes of play. Aggressive engage champions, fight-heavy team compositions, or repeated action around objectives can point toward the Over, while scaling lineups, cautious laning, and a slow macro game favor the Under. Because this is only for Game 1, even a long series or a late-game brawl in another map does not matter unless it changes how the opening draft and opener are played.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 38% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that Game 1 actually starts and finishes, since cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, or a remade game are handled differently under the rules. The resolution source is official game data on gol.gg, so the key thing to check is the final Game 1 kill total from the completed or remade map, not the series score. The deadline and schedule matter too: if the match is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date, or if Game 1 is never completed, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Over or Under.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 38%, $15.9 in 24h volume, and $1.3K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
38%
Under
62%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 31 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 38%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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