esports
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2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 31%, and $334.6 in liquidity.
Probability
31%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$334.6
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
67.5%
Change
+29.5%
High
69%
Low
38%
Under moved from 38% to 67.5% over the last day, trading between 38% and 69%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
37 points
This market asks whether Game 1 in JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming will produce 32 or more total kills. Because it is tied to a specific playoff game in the LPL, the result depends on how aggressive the teams play early, how many teamfights break out, and whether the opener turns into a low-tempo control game or a scrappier one.
The event is the Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for June 6 at 5:00 AM ET. The market only concerns Game 1 of that match: if the official final Game 1 kill count is 32 or higher, the market resolves to Over; if it is 31 or fewer, it resolves to Under. If the match is not played, is delayed by more than seven days, or Game 1 is never completed, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.
A single League of Legends game can swing widely in pace depending on draft, laning pressure, objective fights, and whether one team gets ahead early enough to force frequent skirmishes. JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming are established LPL teams, and in a playoff setting even one game can look very different from a normal-season match because teams may draft more carefully or, at times, take bigger risks to secure momentum. The market is pricing whether this specific opener lands in a relatively low-kill range or crosses into a more action-heavy total.
The biggest driver is the Game 1 draft: engage-heavy champions, strong early skirmish picks, or volatile side-lane matchups can push kill totals higher, while scaling, wave-clear, and low-fight compositions can keep them down. The map pace also matters, especially whether the teams trade early kills around objectives or whether one side builds a quiet lead and closes without many fights. Any change to the match schedule, a remake, or a rules-based change to which game counts would also move the market because the resolution depends only on the official Game 1 result.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 31% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that the match actually starts on the scheduled date and that Game 1 is completed normally, since a cancellation, long delay, forfeit, or unfinished game resolves this market to 50-50. The source of truth is official information from gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are still missing two hours after the match ends. Because this market is about kills in Game 1 only, the full match score, series winner, or later games do not matter unless they affect whether Game 1 was remade or validly completed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?. The market currently shows a live probability of 31%, and $334.6 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
30.5%
Under
69.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 32 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 31%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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