esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 34%, $33.8K in 24h volume, and $58.4K in liquidity.
Probability
34%
24h Volume
$33.8K
Liquidity
$58.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
66.5%
Change
+2.5%
High
66.5%
Low
62%
Bilibili Gaming moved from 64% to 66.5% over the last week, trading between 62% and 66.5%.
Bilibili Gaming price history from Polymarket CLOB.
35 points
This market asks who wins Game 1 between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs lower-bracket quarterfinal matchup. Because it settles on the first map only, it can be more sensitive than a full-match market to draft, early-game execution, and any surprise lineup or patch-related edge.
The event is the lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match in the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for June 6 at 5:00 AM ET. The only question here is which team takes the opening game: if JD Gaming win Game 1, the market resolves to JD Gaming; if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1, it resolves to Bilibili Gaming. If Game 1 is never completed, or the series is canceled or delayed beyond seven days without starting, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.
JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming are both prominent Chinese League of Legends teams, and a lower-bracket playoff game adds extra pressure because one mistake can have immediate consequences for the series. Game 1 is often where teams show their draft preparation and comfort on the current patch, so there is room for disagreement about which side has the better opening-map edge. The market is pricing that uncertainty around a single map rather than the broader match result.
News about starting lineups, last-minute substitutions, or any official match delay can move this market quickly because Game 1 must actually be completed to resolve normally. Draft trends and patch context matter as well: if one team is known for stronger early-game setups, better side selection, or a champion pool that fits the current meta, traders may reassess the first-map favorite. Anything that changes who is expected to control the opening lane phase, objective setup, or teamfight timing can shift sentiment before the map begins.
The current market price implies roughly a 34% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key items to verify are the official match start, whether Game 1 is fully completed, and the final result source used for settlement. The market rules say the primary resolution source is gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Readers should also watch for any postponement beyond seven days from the scheduled date, because that would force a 50-50 resolution instead of a team winner.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 34%, $33.8K in 24h volume, and $58.4K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
JD Gaming
33.5%
Bilibili Gaming
66.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against JD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 34%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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