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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.2 in 24h volume, and $230.1 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$1.2
Liquidity
$230.1
This market asks whether Game 2 in a League of Legends series will include at least one Quadra Kill, a flashy moment where a single player secures four kills in quick succession. It is a narrow in-game event market, so the main thing to watch is the second map itself rather than the overall series winner. The current setup suggests a live, swingy question that can be settled entirely by what happens on the Rift in that one game.
The title is specific to Game 2, and the description says the outcome is based on whether any player on either team records a Quadra Kill during that game. In League of Legends terms, that means one player has to take four enemy champion kills in rapid succession; a Penta Kill also counts because it necessarily includes a Quadra Kill on the way. If Game 2 is never played, is canceled, ends in a walkover, or is not needed because the series is already decided, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
This market exists because a Quadra Kill is common enough to be plausible but rare enough to remain uncertain until the game is over. The outcome depends on draft, team-fight timing, how much gold and damage certain champions can build, and whether one player gets the right cleanup opportunity in a decisive skirmish. For viewers, it is a concrete highlight market tied to a single match moment rather than the broader series result.
Team composition can matter a lot: reset-heavy carries, burst damage, and champions that thrive in clustered fights generally create more chances for four-kill sequences. Early kills, snowballing lanes, dragon or Baron fights, and late-game team fights can all push the odds toward Yes if they set up one player to clean up multiple low-health targets. Because the market is for Game 2 specifically, any roster change, draft surprise, or unusual pace in that map is more relevant than what happened in earlier games.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key source of truth is the official result record from gol.gg, and the rules also say to look there if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Before resolution, readers should verify that Game 2 was actually played, whether it finished normally or ended by surrender, and whether the game was remade, since the remade version is what counts. The scheduled deadline is 2026-06-06T15:00:00Z, but the important ambiguity is not the clock alone—it is whether the second game happens at all and whether a Quadra Kill is recorded in the final completed version of that map.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.2 in 24h volume, and $230.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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