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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 30%, and $203.2 in liquidity.
Probability
30%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$203.2
This market asks whether both JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming will secure Baron Nashor at least once in Game 2 of their series. It is a specific League of Legends objective market, so the key question is not who wins the game, but whether each side can claim the map’s most important late-game monster before the game ends.
Baron Nashor first appears at 20:00 game time and gives the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff, which often changes how teams can break open the map. For this market to resolve to Yes, JD Gaming must take Baron at least once in Game 2 and Bilibili Gaming must also take Baron at least once in the same game; if either team misses out, the result is No. The market is set to resolve from official results on gol.gg, and if the game is never played or is disrupted under the stated exceptions, it can resolve 50-50 instead.
Whether both teams get Baron in one game depends on game pace, objective control, and how long the match stays competitive. A one-sided game can end before the second team ever has a chance at Baron, while a back-and-forth game with multiple setups makes a Yes more plausible. Because this is Game 2 specifically, draft, roster decisions, and the first game’s momentum can matter a lot to how the map plays out.
Anything that changes expected game length or Baron control can shift this market: early kills, turret leads, Dragon stacking, and clean objective setup all affect whether the game reaches multiple Baron contests. Team compositions also matter, since some drafts are built to force fights around Baron while others aim to end quickly or avoid extended setups. A remake, surrender, or an unfinished game would be especially important here because the rules say resolution depends on the remade game only, or on whether both teams had already slain Baron before stoppage.
Related markets
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 30% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, check that Game 2 is actually played and completed, because cancellation, delay beyond seven days, forfeits, and series-shortening outcomes all have special handling. The official source of truth is gol.gg, so the final call should follow that page’s published result rather than commentary or unofficial score updates. The main ambiguity risk is whether both teams actually got a Baron kill in the remade or completed version of Game 2, so the exact match record matters more than the final series score.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 30%, and $203.2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
30%
No
70%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 30%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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