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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.7 in 24h volume, and $338.2 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$1.7
Liquidity
$338.2
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50.5%
Change
-0.5%
High
51.5%
Low
40.5%
Bilibili Gaming moved from 51% to 50.5% over the full available history, trading between 40.5% and 51.5%.
Bilibili Gaming price history from Polymarket CLOB.
12 points
This market is about the first kill in Game 2 of JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs lower bracket quarterfinal. Because first blood can swing lane pressure, jungle pathing, and early tempo, it is one of the clearest early-game events to watch in a best-of-series matchup.
The question is simple: in Game 2 of this playoff match, which team secures the first blood? The title and description point to JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming, two of the LPL’s better-known teams, with the match listed as the Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 and scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET. Resolution is based on the team that gets the first kill in Game 2, with special rules for remakes, stoppages, forfeits, delays beyond seven days, or a completed game with no first blood.
First blood is a narrow event with real uncertainty even in a high-level series, because early skirmishes depend on draft, jungle starts, lane matchups, and how aggressively each side plays the opening minutes. JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming are closely matched enough that either side can be favored in a single game without that telling the whole story of the series. This market is pricing which team is more likely to set the pace first in that specific second game, not who wins the match overall.
Anything that changes expectations for Game 2’s opening minutes can move this market, especially draft choices that suggest early pressure, roaming supports, or strong early-jungle setups. If one side opens with a composition built to fight for river control or invade at level one, that team may look better positioned for first blood; a safer scaling draft can point the other way. In play, the first few minutes around lane trades, jungle paths, and early ganks are the key events to watch, since the market resolves on the first kill in Game 2 only.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify the official Game 2 result and first-blood event from the stated source, gol.gg, since that is the primary resolution source. The important edge cases are whether Game 2 is fully completed, remade, delayed beyond seven days, or stopped before first blood, because those situations can force a 50-50 resolution under the rules. If the official page is late, the description says credible reporting and video evidence may be used after two hours, so the exact first-blood sequence in Game 2 matters more than the final series score.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for First Blood in Game 2?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.7 in 24h volume, and $338.2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
JD Gaming
50%
Bilibili Gaming
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 2. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 2 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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