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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, and $221.7 in liquidity.
Probability
49%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$221.7
This market asks a narrow in-game question for Game 3 of a League of Legends series: does anyone on either side manage a Quadra Kill? The answer depends only on what happens inside that one map, so it is driven more by tempo, teamfighting, and late-game chaos than by the overall match result.
A Quadra Kill in League of Legends means one player kills four enemy champions in quick succession; a Penta Kill would also satisfy this market because it necessarily includes a Quadra Kill. The market is tied to Game 3 specifically, so if the series never reaches a third game, or if Game 3 is not played for any reason described in the rules, the outcome is not Yes or No but 50-50. The event page indicates the match is scheduled for 2026-06-06 at 15:00 UTC, and the URL suggests the series involves JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming, two well-known LPL teams.
A Quadra Kill is flashy but still far from guaranteed, even in professional play. It tends to happen when one team wins a fight decisively and a single carry is left cleaning up low-health opponents, which is why a market like this can swing with draft, scaling, and how messy the teamfights become in Game 3. Readers following the series may care because this is a very specific event with a clear binary result, but the exact pace and fight patterns of the game are still uncertain.
Draft choices are a major driver: aggressive engage compositions, high-damage teamfight setups, and reset-heavy champions can all make a Quadra Kill more plausible, while slower or split-push oriented drafts can reduce the number of grouped fights. Roster changes, lane advantages, and whether the game reaches a late, high-stakes state can also matter, since Quadra Kills are more common when both teams are fighting around objectives and death timers are long. If Game 3 turns into a one-sided snowball or a long back-and-forth contest, that can materially change the chance that one player cleans up four kills in a single sequence.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 49% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is that Game 3 is actually played and completed, because the rules send canceled, delayed, forfeited, or unnecessary third games to 50-50 rather than deciding the market on a normal Yes/No basis. For resolution, the page says the official source is gol.gg esports home, with a fallback if final results are not published within two hours after the event concludes, so readers should watch for the official match record rather than social posts or unofficial highlights. Also note the special rule on remakes: if the game is remade, only the remade version counts for whether a Quadra Kill occurred.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, and $221.7 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 49%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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