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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 76%, and $350.9 in liquidity.
Probability
76%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$350.9
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: in Game 3 between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming, will both sides secure at least one elemental dragon? Because dragon control is a core part of objective play in LoL, this is the kind of in-game stat that can swing quickly with early skirmishes, lane priority, and how teams choose to trade around the dragon pit.
The event is limited to Game 3 of the JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming series. It resolves Yes only if JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming each kill at least one elemental dragon during that game; if either team finishes Game 3 without an elemental dragon, it resolves No. Only elemental dragons count here, so Elder Dragon kills do not satisfy the condition, and if the game is never played or is voided under the listed rules, the market resolves 50-50.
This market captures a narrow but meaningful piece of macro play in a single game. Some matchups produce slow, controlled dragon setups where both teams contest multiple objectives, while other games end before both sides ever take one dragon, so there is real uncertainty about whether the condition will be met. The pricing reflects that disagreement over how long the game will last and whether both teams will get enough map control to claim an elemental dragon.
Early-game tempo matters most: a fast first dragon for one team and a quick response from the other can make a Yes outcome much more likely. Drafts that encourage strong early objective control, sustained laning priority, or repeated fights near bot side usually increase the odds that both teams get on the dragon board, while one-sided stomp drafts can leave one side without a dragon entirely. Because the market is tied to Game 3 specifically, anything that changes how competitive or extended that game looks—such as roster changes, patch-driven meta shifts, or the series reaching a tense decider—can matter a lot.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 76% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check that Game 3 is actually played and completed, since the market has special 50-50 rules for cancelations, forfeits, walkovers, or a series ending before Game 3 is needed. The key source of truth is the official game result and objective record for that specific map, and readers should pay close attention to whether the dragons were elemental dragons rather than Elder Dragon. The deadline shown is the market’s end time, but the practical resolution question is simple: did both JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming each secure at least one elemental dragon before Game 3 ended?
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?. The market currently shows a live probability of 76%, and $350.9 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
75.5%
No
24.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 3. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 76%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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