esports
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2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 63%, and $372.6 in liquidity.
Probability
63%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$372.6
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
63%
Change
+11%
High
69.5%
Low
40.5%
Over moved from 52% to 63% over the last day, trading between 40.5% and 69.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
48 points
This market asks a very specific question about Game 3 of the Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs: will the map finish with 27 or more total kills, or stay at 26 or fewer? Because it is tied to one game in a best-of series, the result depends on both teams’ style, draft, and how chaotic the map becomes.
The title focuses only on total kills in Game 3, not the match winner or the series score. JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming are well-known LPL teams, and the market is scheduled around their playoff matchup initially listed for June 6 at 5:00 AM ET, with resolution based on the completed Game 3 if it is played. It resolves to Over at 27 kills or more, and Under at 26 or fewer, with a 50-50 outcome if the game or match is canceled, delayed beyond seven days, ends in a walkover, or Game 3 is not completed.
Kill totals in League of Legends can swing sharply from one game to the next, especially in playoff games where teams may either play cautiously or force frequent fights. JDG-BLG is the kind of matchup where viewers may disagree on whether the draft and tempo will create a slower control game or a bloodier mid-game skirmish pattern, which is exactly what this line is pricing. Because the market is scoped to a single map, even small changes in draft priorities or early objectives can matter a lot.
The biggest price moves will come from the Game 3 draft and how the first 10 minutes unfold, since early kills often signal whether the map is likely to run hot or stay controlled. A change in series score, a heavy early-game composition, or a lane matchup that creates repeated fights can push expectations toward the Over, while slower scaling picks, cautious objective play, or a low-action opening can support the Under. If the series format changes the likelihood of a deciding Game 3, or if any official update affects whether the map is actually played, that can also move the market quickly.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 63% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that Game 3 is actually played and completed, because the rules send canceled, incomplete, delayed, or forfeited outcomes to 50-50 rather than Over or Under. The official source for resolution is gol.gg, with credible reporting and video evidence only if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. The key ambiguity to watch for is whether any remake occurs, since the market uses the kill total from the remade game only, not the original attempt.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?. The market currently shows a live probability of 63%, and $372.6 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
63%
Under
37%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 3. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 3 is 27 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 63%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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