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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 52%, $1.1 in 24h volume, and $7 in liquidity.
Probability
52%
24h Volume
$1.1
Liquidity
$7
This market asks a very specific question about Game 4 of a League of Legends series: will any player manage a Penta Kill, meaning five kills in rapid succession against the entire enemy team? The matchup appears to be tied to JDG vs. BLG on June 6, 2026, so the main thing to watch is whether the series even reaches a fourth game and, if it does, whether the draft and teamfights create a rare cleanup opportunity.
A Penta Kill is one of the flashiest individual moments in League of Legends, and this market resolves on whether it happens during Game 4 only. It will pay out “Yes” if any player on either side gets a Penta Kill in that game, and “No” if the game ends without one. If Game 4 is canceled, never played, delayed beyond seven days, decided by forfeit or walkover, or not needed because the series ends earlier, the market resolves to 50-50 instead of either side.
Penta Kills are possible in any League of Legends game, but they are still uncommon because they usually require a late-game fight, enough damage to secure all five kills, and the right timing so no teammate finishes the final enemy first. That makes this an event with real uncertainty: a slow, low-action game can make a Penta Kill very unlikely, while a chaotic, high-damage teamfight setup can raise the chance quickly. For this market, the question is not who wins the game, but whether Game 4 contains the kind of extended skirmish or decisive ace that allows one player to take all five takedowns.
The biggest price movers are match-specific and mostly come down to whether Game 4 is actually played, how long the series lasts, and what kind of draft appears in the earlier games. Hyper-carry champions, heavy engage compositions, or teams that frequently play around late-game fights can all make a Penta Kill more plausible, while controlled poke or objective-focused games usually reduce the odds. If the series is already close to ending before Game 4, or if one side is clearly drafting for safe, low-variance wins, that can also push expectations downward because there may be fewer explosive fight patterns.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 52% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should verify that Game 4 is officially completed and that the result is recorded on the designated source, gol.gg, with final confirmation if needed within the stated post-game window. The important ambiguity rules are worth checking: a remade game counts only for the remade version, a surrendered or stopped game resolves based on whether a Penta Kill happened before play ended, and an unplayed Game 4 because the series ended early resolves to 50-50. Because the market is about a single in-game event, the key evidence is the official match record, not the broader series score alone.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 52%, $1.1 in 24h volume, and $7 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 52%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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