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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $46.9 in liquidity.
Probability
51%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$46.9
This market asks a very specific question about one League of Legends game: will any player land a Quadra Kill in Game 4? That makes it a tight, moment-based esports market rather than a series winner market, and it depends on whether the fourth map actually happens at all. The matchup identifier in the link suggests a JDG vs. BLG event, so the series format and whether it reaches Game 4 are part of the story here.
A Quadra Kill in League of Legends means one player kills four enemy champions in quick succession, and this market resolves Yes if that happens at any point during Game 4. A Penta Kill also counts, because it necessarily includes a Quadra Kill along the way. If Game 4 is never played, is canceled, is delayed too long, or the series ends before a fourth game is needed, the market resolves 50-50 instead of Yes or No.
The uncertainty here is not just whether the teams are close in strength, but whether Game 4 will become a high-action map with enough fights for a single player to chain together four kills. In League of Legends, Quadra Kills are usually tied to late-teamfight positioning, damage output, and whether one side can cleanly finish low-health opponents without interruption. That makes the market sensitive to matchup tempo, draft priorities, and whether the game stays competitive long enough for extended skirmishes.
Draft choices can matter a lot: hyper-carry picks, reset champions, or team compositions built for front-to-back fights can increase the chance of a multi-kill sequence. Early gold leads, objective fights around dragons or Baron, and chaotic late-game teamfights are the kinds of in-game moments that can create a Quadra Kill opportunity. The biggest non-game factor is still schedule risk: if the series is wrapped up before Game 4, or the map is not played for any reason covered by the rules, the outcome changes away from a normal Yes/No resolution.
Related markets

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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 51% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, check that Game 4 is actually played and completed, because the rules treat a missing fourth game very differently from a completed one. The stated source of truth is official result information from gol.gg esports home, so the final result should line up with that record unless the market rules trigger the fallback 50-50 path. One ambiguity to watch for is a remake or a stopped game: the market says a remade game is judged on the remade version only, and if the map begins but ends early, resolution depends on whether a Quadra Kill already happened before stoppage.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?. The market currently shows a live probability of 51%, and $46.9 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
51%
No
49%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 51%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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