
--
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, and $36 in liquidity.
Probability
49%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$36
This market asks a very specific League of Legends question: in Game 4 of JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming, will both teams secure Baron Nashor at least once? Baron is one of the biggest swing objectives in the game, so whether each side ever takes it can say a lot about how long the game lasts and how even the contest is.
The event is tied to Game 4 of a JD Gaming (JDG) versus Bilibili Gaming (BLG) series, scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. To resolve “Yes,” the official game record must show that JDG slayed Baron Nashor at least once and BLG also slayed Baron Nashor at least once during that same Game 4. If either team never takes Baron, or if the game is not played or not completed under the market’s listed exceptions, the outcome is not “Yes.”
This market is about a concrete in-game milestone that depends on how the match unfolds, not just who wins. Some League of Legends games feature repeated objective trades and extended late-game fights, while others end before Baron becomes relevant or with only one side ever controlling it. That uncertainty makes “both teams slay Baron” a distinct question worth tracking separately from the series winner.
Anything that changes expectations about game length or objective trading can move this market. If the series looks likely to reach a full Game 4 with evenly matched teams, the chance that both sides touch Baron usually rises; if one roster is expected to snowball early or close games quickly, the opposite is true. Draft choices, scaling compositions, lane pressure, and whether either team tends to force Baron fights in this matchup are all relevant because they affect whether both teams will ever get a clean Baron take.
The current market price implies roughly a 49% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets

--
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the official Game 4 result on gol.gg, since that is the stated resolution source. Readers should check whether Game 4 was actually played to completion, whether any remake rules apply, and whether each team is credited with at least one Baron Nashor kill in the final game record. The market also has special 50-50 rules if the game is canceled, never needed, or postponed beyond seven days, so the exact match status matters as much as the scoreboard itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Game 4: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?. The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, and $36 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
49%
No
51%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 4. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 4. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 4 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 49%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

+0.3%
24h Vol
$537.5K
Liquidity
$3.2K
Spread
3%
12/31/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$119.2K
Liquidity
$4K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market
-3%
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
$3.5K
Spread
3%
12/31/2026
View market
+2.5%
24h Vol
$295.8
Liquidity
$2.3K
Spread
4%
12/31/2026
View market
+5.5%
24h Vol
$232.7
Liquidity
$3.1K
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market