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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $24.2 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$24.2
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
0%
High
59.5%
Low
40.5%
Under moved from 50% to 50% over the last day, trading between 40.5% and 59.5%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
48 points
This market asks a simple but very specific question: if JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming reach Game 4 in their LPL Playoffs lower bracket quarterfinal matchup, will that map finish with at least 28 total kills? In League of Legends, kills can swing sharply from slow, objective-driven games to chaotic team-fight brawls, so a single game can land well above or below this line.
The event is the Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00 AM ET. This market does not depend on the series winner; it only resolves on the total kills recorded in Game 4, with Over meaning 28 or more kills and Under meaning 27 or fewer. If the series never reaches a completed Game 4, or if the match is canceled, delayed by more than seven days, forfeited, or ended by walkover, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.
Kill totals in professional League of Legends are notoriously matchup-dependent. JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming are both prominent LPL teams, and in a playoff setting the pace of play can change based on draft, pressure, and how close the series is when Game 4 starts, which makes this line genuinely uncertain. The market is pricing whether that specific game ends up as a relatively low-kill control game or a higher-action fight-heavy map.
Anything that changes the likelihood of a fourth game being played, or of that game becoming fast and bloody, can move this market. The most important factors are the series score before Game 4, draft style, champion picks that encourage early skirmishes or scaling, and any roster or substitution news that affects how JD Gaming or Bilibili Gaming approach the map. Because the line is tied only to Game 4, one draft phase or one early objective fight can matter much more than the earlier games in the series.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify that Game 4 is actually played to completion, since the rules send unfinished, forfeited, or heavily delayed cases to 50-50. The stated source of truth is official results on gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only used if final results are still missing two hours after the match ends. The key ambiguity to watch for is whether any remake occurs, because the market resolves from the remade game's kill total only, not the original version.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $24.2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 4. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 4 is 28 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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