esports
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2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $24.2 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$24.2
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
0%
High
51%
Low
47.5%
Under moved from 50% to 50% over the last month, trading between 47.5% and 51%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
12 points
This market asks a very specific question about the LPL Playoffs lower-bracket quarterfinal between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming: will Game 4 finish with at least 29 total kills, or 28 and under? It matters because kill totals in League of Legends are often shaped by draft, pacing, and whether the series is close enough to force a longer, more chaotic game.
The event is the Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET. The outcome is based only on Game 4: if that game ends with 29 or more combined kills, the market resolves to Over; if it ends with 28 or fewer, it resolves to Under. If the match is not played, delayed too long, ends in forfeiture, or Game 4 begins but is not completed, the market is set to 50-50 under the published rules.
A single-game kills line like 28.5 can be hard to pin down because the total depends on how the teams approach the map, not just who wins. JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming are familiar LPL names with a history of high-level playoff play, so readers may expect either controlled objective-heavy games or fast, fight-heavy brawls depending on draft and momentum. The market is pricing disagreement over whether this specific Game 4 will turn into a low-kill macro game or a more explosive playoff map.
Anything that changes expectations for Game 4 can move this market: the series score, whether the teams are trading games, and whether either side drafts champions that favor early skirmishes or late-game control. In a decisive or high-pressure playoff game, teams may play more cautiously at first, which can suppress kills, but one early fight or a snowballing lane matchup can push the total quickly toward the Over. Because this is tied to Game 4 specifically, the market can also shift if the series reaches that map and the previous games suggest a very different pace than expected.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check that the match actually reaches Game 4, because the line only resolves on that map and the rules treat unfinished, forfeited, or remade games in a very specific way. The official source of truth is Gol.gg, with credible reporting or video evidence only used if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. It is also worth verifying the exact scheduled date and whether the series has been delayed beyond the seven-day window, since that changes the resolution to 50-50 rather than Over or Under.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $24.2 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 4. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 4 is 29 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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