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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 71%, and $346.1 in liquidity.
Probability
71%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$346.1
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
27%
Change
-19%
High
52.5%
Low
27%
Under moved from 46% to 27% over the last day, trading between 27% and 52.5%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
48 points
This market is asking a very specific question about the JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming series in the LPL Playoffs: how many combined kills will be recorded in Game 4. Because the threshold is set at 29.5, the result can swing on a single teamfight, a fast snowball, or a slower, objective-focused game that keeps both sides from trading many kills.
The title refers to Game 4 only, not the full match total, and it resolves on whether the official Game 4 kill count reaches 30 or more. The match is listed as the Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, with an initial schedule of June 6 at 5:00 AM ET. If Game 4 is never completed, is played under a remake-only ruling, or the match is delayed too far or canceled under the market rules, the page may resolve to 50-50 instead of Over or Under.
Kills in League of Legends are highly matchup-specific and can vary a lot depending on draft, tempo, and how aggressively the teams play around early skirmishes, Baron setups, and late-game fights. JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming are familiar LPL names, so readers will often expect a competitive series, but that does not by itself tell you whether Game 4 will be a bloody game or a controlled one. The market is pricing that uncertainty around whether this particular map clears a relatively modest kill line.
Anything that changes expectations for Game 4’s pace can move this market, especially the series state after the first three games. A one-sided Game 3, a draft that favors engage-heavy champions, or a need for one team to force fights to stay alive in the series can all point toward more kills, while scaling compositions, early objective trades, or disciplined macro can lean toward fewer. Because the market is only about Game 4, even small changes in how the series develops before that map can matter a lot.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 71% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is whether Game 4 is actually played and completed, since the rules say incomplete games, walkovers, or long delays can force a 50-50 result. For the final settlement, the source of truth is official information from gol.gg, with credible reporting only a fallback if final results are not posted within two hours after the event ends. Readers should also pay attention to whether any remake occurs, because the rules say the remake alone counts for resolution, not the abandoned attempt.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 71%, and $346.1 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
70.5%
Under
29.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 4. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 4 is 30 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 4 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 71%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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