esports
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
2%
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Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, $362.9 in 24h volume, and $26.7K in liquidity.
Probability
41%
24h Volume
$362.9
Liquidity
$26.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
59%
Change
+9%
High
71%
Low
50%
Bilibili Gaming moved from 50% to 59% over the last week, trading between 50% and 71%.
Bilibili Gaming price history from Polymarket CLOB.
35 points
This market asks who will win Game 4 between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL playoffs lower bracket quarterfinal. Because it is tied to a single map in a best-of series, the result can hinge on draft, momentum, and how the teams adapt between games rather than on the match winner alone.
The event is the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, scheduled for June 6 at 5:00 AM ET. This specific market resolves on the winner of Game 4 only: JD Gaming if they take that game, or Bilibili Gaming if they do. If Game 4 is completed, that official game result is enough even if the overall match is not finished, while a match that is canceled, never starts, or is delayed beyond seven days without play begins resolves 50-50.
A single game in a playoff series can be uncertain even when the broader series looks one-sided, especially in League of Legends where draft order, side selection, and momentum can matter a lot. JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming are both recognizable LPL names, so this market reflects disagreement about which roster will handle the pressure of a crucial mid-series map and adapt better on the day.
Any sign that one team has found a better draft read, cleaner early-game execution, or stronger objective control in the first three games can shift expectations for Game 4. A series going to a decisive Game 4 can also change how the market reads momentum, especially if the previous games show one side winning through lane pressure, teamfighting, or a specific champion pattern that may carry into the next draft.
The current market price implies roughly a 41% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is whether Game 4 is actually completed, because that is the only outcome that settles this market normally. Readers should also check the official match result source listed in the rules, gol.gg, and note the fallback language: if the game is not finished, or if the match never starts and slips beyond the seven-day limit, the market resolves 50-50. Because this is tied to a single game rather than the series winner, make sure the result being reported is specifically Game 4 and not the overall match score.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner. The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, $362.9 in 24h volume, and $26.7K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
JD Gaming
41%
Bilibili Gaming
59%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 6 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 4 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 4 against JD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 41%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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